Iraq encourages US-Iran talksIraqi government spokesman, Ali al-Dabbagh, called on President-elect Barack Obama's administration to enter into sustained talks with Iran. While there have been low-level talks between US and Iranian officials held in Iraq, they have only concerned Iraqi domestic security and have seemingly achieved little. These talks have been symbolically significant, however, and hopefully will make it easier for the Iranian regime to enter into more serious talks with Obama's government next year. Of course, Iran is entering into its own election season which will make entering into talks difficult for the current Ahmadinejad regime. Depending on how the June 2009 election in Iran plays out, any serious attempts to get the two sides together will most likely not occur until late summer early fall of that year.
Iran stepping back Iraq involvement
The Iraqi government's call for new US-Iran talks comes at the same time as
reports indicating a slow-down in the use of Iranian-linked explosives in Iraq. Apparently,
as a US Army Lt.-Gen. Thomas Mentz suggests, the use of armor-piercing bombs has dropped recently from an average of 80 per month to around 12. This decrease is being interpreted by the US forces as, if nothing else, a temporary pullback of Iranian aid to the Shia Iraqi insurgency.
Rafsanjani critical of Obama
Influential Iranian politician, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, has rejected
Obama's proposed "carrot and stick" policy to US-Iranian relations. Rafsanjani appealed to Obama's racial background in stating: "I don't expect someone who considers himself to be originally from Africa and a member of the oppressed black race in America to repeat what (George W.) Bush has to say." Rafsanjani further stated: "I advise (Obama)... we don't want your incentives and your punishments will not stop us either . . . It's better for you to be reasonable and not to deprive Iran of its rights."
Rafsanjani is of course appealing to the sentiments of national pride and dignity in rejecting the "carrot and stick" policy (no nation wants to be compared to a manipulated animal,
much less a donkey, as the idiom evokes). However, this is par for the course in Iranian politics. I suspect things will change at least behind the scenes after the June 2009 election, assuming nothing drastic occurs in the region between now and then. Publicly, however, Iranian politicians will not endorse compromise on the nuclear issue without a shift in relations between Iran and the West.